Third Party & Independents Archives

​Trump and Kim Jong-un: Stop Tweeting & Carry a Big Club

With the news of Mike Pompeo - still CIA Director, not yet Secretary of State and perhaps condemned to a purgatory of several months or longer by Democratic Senators grandstanding on everything from Pompeo’s view of gay sex to his positions on waterboarding - having visited with Kim Jong-Un now out in the open, we have to be grateful that North Korea is not a major energy producer.

Like Iran.


The danger of being sucked into a negotiating process that ends up with an outcome resembling the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (the Iran nuclear deal) is perhaps less of a risk than it was in Iran's case. But it is still an important trap that Trump's administration must both carefully and forcefully avoid. The good news is that this is and should remain a negotiating process that America owns.

It is worth remembering that negotiations with Iran regarding its nuclear capabilities began initially as a European enterprise with the so-called EU-3 comprised of France, Germany and the UK back around 2003. Then it expanded in 2006 like a replica of a UN committee, adding China, Russia, and finally a reluctant USA to form the P5 + 1. By the time Obama won the next election, the Europeans had a fellow internationalist and apologist and a few years later detailed negotiations were underway.

The result has been to lift sanctions, give back billions to Iran with little assurance or reliable verification that they are not advancing with their nuclear weapons program.

Kim jong-un would love to repeat the Iranian's clear success at overcoming sanctions with little real or lasting consequences for non-compliance. The DPRK has managed to stave off hostilities and extort subsidies from America in the past. So this is the real trap that Trump and Pompeo face. As Dan Blumenthal in a piece at AEI's site concludes:

However, if the North succeeds in drawing out the talks with promises of future denuclearization, engaging Washington in endless fights about verification or demands for concessions without any immediate actions in return, Washington will have lost important time that otherwise could have been spent strengthening the coalition of pressure.

His point being that the tactics that the Trump administration has used to get Kim to the negotiating table (and apparently to allow the South Koreans to report that options like de-nuclearization are on the list of possible items to be negotiated) should not be surrendered now that the immediate goal of a meeting seems to have been gained.

This means making sure the pressure on North Korea, and by implication on their sponsor, China, must be maintained. As Blumenthal says:

This is all to say that direct talks can be part of a strategy of coercive diplomacy. If Kim balks at immediate denuclearization, the U.S. can increase the pressure even more until he is ready. Trump and his team are tough-minded pragmatists capable of hard-headed diplomacy and decisive action. Indeed, the U.S. team should be ready with a set of new initiatives to pressure both China and North Korea, should the summit not bear fruit.

But Team USA is going up against a regime that has been on a roll in outwitting the United States across many administrations, and that is supported by a China that wants the United States out of Asia. The key to success is to push for immediate denuclearization while preparing for a long-term parallel strategy of coercive diplomacy against North Korea and continued pushback against Chinese moves to break U.S. alliances in Asia.

Alliances in Asia with Japan and Taiwan, and not just with South Korea. Because China would like nothing more than for America to retreat from East Asia, leaving it as the undisputed hegemon dominating Japan and the rest of the region's countries. Maybe a little threatening talk about helping Japan re-arm would help do the trick. Because it's not just Kim jong-un that has to take Trump's threats seriously. It's Xi as well.

It could very well be that Trump finds himself withdrawing from the JCPA while at the same time entering negotiations with North Korea. One fears that he cannot possibly sustain such a balance, but if he can, both the ayatollahs and the Kims of this world will be on notice. And that's not a bad deal. Stop tweeting and carry a big club - like Teddy would have.

Posted by AllardK at April 20, 2018 11:24 PM
Comments
Comment #426433

“China would like nothing more than for America to retreat from East Asia,”

That’s the whole effing point of what’s happening with Dumpty. They think he’s stupid or senile enough to abandon South Korea, withdraw from Asia completely, and abandon all alliances, while China sends out colonists around the world. Our allies think the same thing. China will probably have bases in the Caribbean while we are still bombing empty buildings in the middle east with our glorious military. The dotard can’t be removed from office soon enough. I’m surprised the generals haven’t done it yet.

Posted by: ohrealy at April 21, 2018 11:18 AM
Comment #426443

President Trump was smart enough to win the office from the challenger; the smartest, most political savvy, most dishonest and cunning adversary Hillary Clintonista.

President Trump was smart enough to force China to back down in the tariff threats.

President Trump was smart enough to withdraw from the Paris Climate accords, cause illegals border crossings to diminish, reduce unneeded government regulation, reduce corporate and individual taxes, and greatly influence the rising GDP of this nation.

Liberals bleating about Trump being stupid is music to our ears as they continue to underestimate what this leader can accomplish.

Posted by: Royal Flush at April 22, 2018 4:45 PM
Comment #426542

I have Never Seen this type of blogs, I’m Very Impress your written skills!
Love Marriage Specialists

Posted by: Ankita Sharma at April 27, 2018 2:36 AM
Comment #426588

Great Job, your post content Too short but Very well define and much effective.
Muslim Black Magic Specialist , Solution Your Love Problems

Posted by: Rehana Malik at April 30, 2018 2:18 AM
Comment #427030

After decades of closing the gate to the whole world, NK is getting more friendly, makes me really surprise and wonder what in his mind now. Will the two countries be peaceful from now on.

Posted by: email login at May 18, 2018 5:26 AM
Comment #427322

Trump’s running a significant lucrative plan there, he continues making exchange wars and authorizes and continues assaulting US organizations through twitter, so if those gigantic enterprises would prefer not to be forced taxes, be endorsed or be assaulted by him, they’ll need to pay huge amounts of cash to his friends to campaign, and no uncertainty those cohorts should kick up the greater part of the cash to him. Much the same as numerous individuals anticipated, Trump won’t not have been a genuine extremely rich person when he got chose, however he would be a very rich person many circumstances over when he leaves office.
Logo Service

Posted by: sophia at May 25, 2018 12:59 AM
Comment #427340

Bangalore Escorts high-class Model, Air-Hostess We offer Top class female Bangalore escorts North Indian, Punjabi, Gujarati model escorts in Bangalore Girlfriend Experience with North/South Indian Model Escort.These girls carry special essence with the natural aroma, which can simply amplify energy to men thoughts and can turn them on to get in a mood. These model escorts are multi-talented, they can make your time more lively by playing music, she can take a step with you and dances with you to live the moment completely.

Posted by: Danny at May 25, 2018 6:34 AM
Comment #427341

Beauty Queen provides you high profile independent girl in Vadodara, escorts service in Vadodara, Vadodara escorts. If you are looking for the ultimate encounter in Vadodara then I am your sophisticated young Vadodara escorts service provides upscale companionship for making your night becomes true. Hot Collection Provide By Russian Escorts Indian Models Call Girls In Vadodara Enjoy Escorts Service, available in Vadodara 24/7*.

Posted by: kumar at May 25, 2018 6:35 AM
Comment #427342

Our only wish is that you get all kinds of goodness from us. Our service is available in-call and out call Hotel service. And all the girls we have to keep you happy and most decent high profile escort Service in Siliguri with excellent quality to vip decent independent escort girls ready for full satisfy all your requirements and full cooperative service giving you. Siliguri Escort Service,Call girl Service in Siliguri.

Posted by: Rahul at May 25, 2018 6:35 AM
Comment #427343

Abu Dhabi Escoert Service , The Perfection of Pleasure Moulded by Pretty Model Abu dhabie Escort Service, call girl Abu Dhabi. Biggest escort directory of independent escorts, escort agencies and strip clubs in Abu Dhabi, UAE. You find here the best female and male escorts providing massage and escort services.Abu Dhabi Call girl service.

Posted by: Mahira at May 25, 2018 6:37 AM
Comment #427344

surat escort service in surat 100% Safe & Secure High-Class Services Affordable Rate 100% Satisfaction, Unlimited Enjoyment. Any Time for Model/Teens Escort in Surat High-class luxury and premium escorts agency.high-class luxury and premium escorts agency We Provide Well Educated, Royal Class Female, High-class Escorts agency offering a top high-class escorts service in Surat, call girl service in Surat.

Posted by: Nandi at May 25, 2018 6:37 AM
Comment #427345

Beauty Queen provides you high profile independent girl in Vadodara, escorts service in Vadodara, Vadodara escorts. If you are looking for the ultimate encounter in Vadodara then I am your sophisticated young Vadodara escorts service provides upscale companionship for making your night becomes true. Hot Collection Provide By Russian Escorts Indian Models Call Girls In Vadodara Enjoy Escorts Service, available in Vadodara 24/7*.

Posted by: Raju at May 25, 2018 6:38 AM
Comment #427464

Wow, incredible blog layout! How long have you been blogging for? you made blogging look easy. The overall look of your site is excellent, let alone the content!
Black magic to Control Someone

Posted by: blackmagicsolution at May 30, 2018 6:38 AM
Comment #427679

Very philosophic as discussion. But I must say that it is debate that change things. Anyway, very good article, thanks for the share.
Powerful vashikaran specialist spells

Posted by: kirtigupta at June 4, 2018 3:55 AM
Comment #428048

I Have Never read this type effective And Unique content! Keep Undated….
Education and Career Problem Solution

Posted by: Ankita Sharma at June 15, 2018 2:58 AM
Comment #429002

Thank you for the interesting post. It is good to know about the thirdparty. The information on ​Trump and Kim Jong-un is quite useful.

Posted by: Lesa Cote at July 16, 2018 12:09 AM
Comment #429071

President Trump was smart enough to win the office from the challenger; the smartest, most political savvy, most dishonest and cunning adversary Hillary Clintonista.

Posted by: animal jam at July 17, 2018 5:04 AM
Post a comment