Third Party & Independents Archives

Slow Motion Dance Towards Armageddon

Is the media fuss over the AP story that Iran will self-inspect a fraud? That seems an exaggeration at best, but the edits to the original story, which essentially took out some granularity and replaced it with a sort of cover statement that it wasn’t clear “how” these inspections would proceed, have caused a lot of crossed tweets between critics and AP journalists. The IAEA has stated that the story is “misleading” but as the debate goes back and forth over whether AP reporters were somehow duped, the details that do remain show how carefully the IAEA have to tip toe around the Iranian regime to be able to hopefully perform inspections on sites that could have weapon capability within a few years. The fact that we have even reached this stage is disturbing and the fear is that - rather than send false info to reporters in America as some have suggested - Israel will have to take matters into its own hands. Like in Iraq over 30 years ago.

Should, as a result of the deal whatever the exact nature of the side agreement, Israeli jets or guided missiles target Iranian nuclear facilities, the Middle East will then truly be a powder keg. And the reactions by Russia and the EU, for example, will provide a near impossible panorama for the U.S. Much better to have kept the sanctions in place and negotiated from that position of leverage to ensure that any deal is verifiable in a way that satisfies deep concerns in America, and yes Israel, over the intentions of Iran with regard to nuclear weapons. Instead we have a Kabuki dance in slow motion heading towards a possible armageddon. There are a handful of countries that you would never want to achieve nuclear capabilities. Iran is right at the top of the that dangerous little list. Any deal with such a regime has to ensure complete or near-complete verifiability. We are a long way from that, and Israel knows it.

Posted by AllardK at August 25, 2015 7:35 PM
Comments
Comment #397871

AllardK, it’s as I posted in the article below, 99% of us can’t know the truth/facts about any major issue. We can only operate from our perception of a situation.

Back in the days of Ike and Truman I believe the folks trusted their leaders on the major issues. Truman supported the Shah as a way to keep peace in the middle east and that worked for a good number of years.

Current perception is that Iran would violate/ignore any deal from any source and would spend the money toward our demise.

Maybe the US should work to set up a puppet gov’t outside Iran and try to build a force strong enough to overthrow the current powers.

Strong sanctions and the threat of being overthrown would keep their heads down and slow nuke development, IMO.

A Trump approach to any EU country trying to do business with Iran would be helpful as well.

Put enough pressure on the economy and the people would take the regime to task.

We should never let it go to a point where we have to blow up their nuke plants, IMO.

Posted by: roy ellis at August 25, 2015 9:38 PM
Comment #397877
the details that do remain show how carefully the IAEA have to tip toe around the Iranian regime to be able to hopefully perform inspections on sites that could have weapon capability within a few years

AllardK,

You have fundamentally misunderstood what is going on with regards to the Parchin facility. The controversy is over an investigation into the past history of Iran’s nuclear program, not over inspections regarding the present or future of that program as you wrote.

Much better to have kept the sanctions in place and negotiated from that position of leverage to ensure that any deal is verifiable in a way that satisfies deep concerns in America, and yes Israel, over the intentions of Iran with regard to nuclear weapons. Instead we have a Kabuki dance in slow motion heading towards a possible armageddon. There are a handful of countries that you would never want to achieve nuclear capabilities. Iran is right at the top of the that dangerous little list. Any deal with such a regime has to ensure complete or near-complete verifiability. We are a long way from that, and Israel knows it.
Neither the AP story nor anything else published recently has ever given any indication that the recently negotiated agreement lacks the protocols necessary for the near-complete verification of which you speak.

The Parchin issue is a red-herring regarding a long-abandoned facility. If Iran wanted to violate the agreement with a clandestine program, it would rather build a new secret facility rather than mess around with Parchin, which is a known quantity to Western intelligence.

Posted by: Warren Porter at August 26, 2015 10:13 AM
Comment #398014

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