July 25, 2003
Reader Mail: California After The Recall
Jason Lauborough sent me an email about the recall in progress with some very insightful thoughts on what the outcome could be. He speculates that Democrats are withdrawing support en mass and will end up hurting themselves if they don’t come forward with an alternate candidate. Several Republicans have already placed their names in the hat, and from out in left field, Peter Camejo of the Green Party has announced his candidacy again (he previously ran against Gray Davis).
While I’m not going to lend my personal support due to his obvious socialist agenda, Jason points out that so far he is the only candidate in the leftist spectrum. This is based on speculation that Arnold Schwarzenegger will not run at all and that out of dislike for Republicans more than on issues, people would vote for a Green candidate. I have included Jason’s email below with links to the candidates’ sites.
Wanted to pass a quick note your way, just to offer a suggestion for a post in the 3rd Party blog at WatchBlog. You've surely been following the California recall issue, and wanted to point a few things out that might be interesting to pass on in a post regarding 3rd party chances in the recall election.Posted by Stephen VanDyke at July 25, 2003 02:05 PM1) There will be at least 3 republican candidates.
Darrel[l] Issa (the guy who started it all), Bill Simon
(the guy Davis beat last year) and either Richard
Riordan (LA's mayor, IIRC, a moderate) or Arnold (The
Terminator). [ed. note - no campaign site found for Arnold]
Note that these presumptions are based on
Arnold NOT running. His wife is highly against it, and
he's made a big show of being a good family guy. If
Arnold DOES run, he sweeps the republican vote, a good
deal of the left vote, and becomes governor.2) As of right now, no democratic officeholders, from
the Lt. Governor on up to Senator Feinstein, are going
to be running for the office, in a show of solidarity
with the governor. Presumably, any other democrat that
runs will get NO support from the party.
[ed. note - a supporting link would be helpful]3) Peter Camejo, of the Green Party, who won 5% of the
vote last year (a significant number for a 3rd party)
has announced that he plans to run.
Without a democratic candidate, all the demos and
independents that revile the republicans (rightly or
not) will have to pick another leftish candidate to
vote for. Camejo stands to grab a good deal of that
vote.With three non-Terminator republican candidates, all
of them popular amongst republicans in various
locations, they will probably have the "right" vote
split up amongst themselves.
So, if we don't have Arnold running, California has a
chance, however slim, of electing a third party
governor.Thanks for the great commentary on WatchBlog.
-Jason Lauborough
jlauboro at yahoo dot com
Thanks for posting that. Good to see reader mail getting posted.
I didn’t realize you’d post the entire email, or else I would have tried to be a little more thoughtful and professional with my phrasing, and done some searching for support of the idea that the Democratic party wouldn’t support any party member that runs. I guess I was intending more to suggest an idea for a post, rather than writing a post myself.
I will go ahead and admit that there is no solid evidence that the Democratic party wouldn’t support a candidate. All evidence that points to that is purely circumstantial in that all Democratic officeholders have declined to run, and I would assume that the state party as a whole would stick to that. I could be wrong, of course, especially since Sen. Feinstein, while stating that she will not run, has always been careful to leave an opening: “nothing that I know right now interests me in running…” (emphasis mine).
Thanks, though, it’s always a thrill to see my “name in lights”, so to speak. :)
-JAL
Posted by: Jason Lauborough at July 25, 2003 02:51 PMJason, thanks for the email, I get a few per week that are usually just press releases and it’s easier for me to do the research on it and write the stories. In this case, it would have been unfair to simply try and paraphrase.
I am curious to see if Arnold will run because I think he’s a shoe in if he does, at least gathering the moderates and moderate republicans. Like you mentioned, Camejo only seems to have a chance if Arnold isn’t in this race (even if Dems don’t run out of solidarity, which I don’t see). Another factor is that Arnold threw his weight behind Bill Simon in his original bid against Davis, so that should be worth something.
Posted by: Stephen VanDyke at July 25, 2003 03:14 PMUh…maybe i am missing something here. Didn’t Nader have a “socialist agenda” ? He loves to talk about the Chomsky-esque (marxist)mantra of re-distribution of wealth. As long as its not his wealth of 380,000,000$.
Posted by: pete at July 28, 2003 05:19 PM
How to stop the Republican initiated governor recall.
Hello
Several Republicans will run for Governor of California in a recall election. They have every right to run for governor.
Because the Republicans have decided to do this recall action I have a right to decide not to buy a car alarm called the Viper from Directed Electronics, a company that one of the candidates Darrell Issa works for.
I have a right to tell others not to buy products from Directed Electronics for this reason and call them at 1 800 876 0800 and demand that they get every Republican candidate to withdraw or they will lose alot of sales. So if you want to stop the Republicans from running, call Directed electronics and call car alarm dealers that sell the Viper and let the civil disobedience begin.
Also read and sign the petition at
http://www.boycott-republicans.com
which covers a comprehensive progressive agenda.
Posted by: stolenelectioncoin.com at July 29, 2003 05:02 AM
When I asked my brother who lives in Southern Cal. what he thought of Arnold running for Governor he replied:
Brentwood has all of the candidates.
Its a hot bed here—that’s also where Gray Davis grew up-People love the idea of shaking the politician thing up.
They are fed up with the stiff guy in a suit giving empty promises—-somebodys gotta pay for the energy debacle.
I think Arnie can win if he can get past all of the critics on his cheating ways he is famous for saying—-i dont cheat on my wife—“only blow jobs” He’s a horny dog with a big appetite—-that is on kidney dialisis once a week for his past steroid use—-ouch
Posted by: EC at August 7, 2003 07:43 PMThere are some very compelling reasons for both Republicans and Democrats to vote for Arnold in this recall election. He led Proposition 49 last year which expanded afterschool programs for kids (over 1.2M children had the opportunity to take advantage of these programs and stay safe from the streets).
Posted by: arnold for governor at August 29, 2003 09:30 PM