June 30, 2003
My out-on-a-limb prediction
The Dean campaign is lowballing. The people who were shocked today by “the six million dollar man” are going to be awed tomorrow when the final numbers come out.
Dean has actually been running on electability. A lot of donors think that to be electable, you need to energize the base, while being both centrist and honest about the positions you use to appeal to the part of the party that stuffs envelopes and knocks on doors. Nothing succeeds like success, and the amount of success the DLC line has to show donors is nothing. The market among Democratic donors for something different is mainstream, not niche.
I’m guessing the number will break seven million.
Posted by dsws at June 30, 2003 12:48 PMI think you are right. Of course a couple of days back I optimistically predicted a $6 million dollar haul this quarter. It’s nice to be surprised.
Frankly, the longer the purveyor’s of conventional wisdom don’t get it the better as far as I’m concerned. Dean has benefited greatly from the anger induced by the scoffing of his opponents.
Posted by: Chris Andersen at June 30, 2003 01:34 PMWell, not so out-on-a-limb any more. I’m still hoping the numbers I’m seeing on Deanforamerica don’t yet include a bunch of physical-world fundraising, so that the total will be even higher.
Posted by: Dan Wylie-Sears at June 30, 2003 09:22 PMThey’re saying 7.5M now for Q2. I’m guessing it won’t move much more as the last few snail-mails trickle in, but the exact number will be a little higher than the rounded-off one.
Posted by: Dan Wylie-Sears at July 1, 2003 09:59 PM
